Uday Kumar

Prathama Banerjee

In the first Lokniti podcast, Professor Sanjay Kumar, Mr. Yashwant Deshmukh and Mr. Pradeep Gupta, arguably the most eminent pollsters in India, discussed election forecasting based on survey methods. The discussion was moderated by Rukmini S posing intriguing questions to the panel.The panel discussed the purpose of polling beyond the immediate estimation of electoral outcomes. Professor Kumar explained the traditional, tried-and-tested, random sampling method deployed by CSDS while Mr. Gupta describes the rigorous process of the door-to-door all-constituency method of Axis My India. Mr. Deshmukh shared the evolution and limitations of the Computer-Aided Telephonic Interview (CATI) method he pioneered at C-Voter.The panel with an enormous wealth of experience behind them indicates the necessity of reforms in election forecasting in India. However, the highlight of the discussion was a shared experience of field hostility with researchers, often by party workers, and how it could be mitigated.

In the first Lokniti podcast, Professor Sanjay Kumar, Mr. Yashwant Deshmukh and Mr. Pradeep Gupta, arguably the most eminent pollsters in India, discussed election forecasting based on survey methods. The discussion was moderated by Rukmini S posing intriguing questions to the panel.The panel discussed the purpose of polling beyond the immediate estimation of electoral outcomes. Professor Kumar explained the traditional, tried-and-tested, random sampling method deployed by CSDS while Mr. Gupta describes the rigorous process of the door-to-door all-constituency method of Axis My India. Mr. Deshmukh shared the evolution and limitations of the Computer-Aided Telephonic Interview (CATI) method he pioneered at C-Voter.The panel with an enormous wealth of experience behind them indicates the necessity of reforms in election forecasting in India. However, the highlight of the discussion was a shared experience of field hostility with researchers, often by party workers, and how it could be mitigated.

EP1: Election Forecasting, Regulations and Survey Research

Since its inception in 1963, the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies has been recognized as one of the leading intellectual institutions of the global south. At the Centre, we believe that ideas grow out of everyday social and political practices. We, therefore, consider it an important function of intellectuals to stay close to, articulate and critically comment upon such practices.Since 1997, CSDS has been conducting survey-based studies through its research programme, Lokniti. The most distinguishing characteristic of the Lokniti programme is that it has brought together over 40 political scientists from various colleges, universities and research institutions in the country and evolved itself into a large network of researchers defining research agenda collectively and doing research collectively.This long tradition of conducting survey-based studies has meant that today outside Western Europe and North America, the Lokniti-CSDS Data Unit’s holdings might constitute one of the largest archives of social scientific survey data on political behaviour and attitudes, spanning five decades.Visit:CSDS: www.csds.inLokniti: www.lokniti.org Follow:Twitter: CSDS Delhi @csdsdelhi             Lokniti-CSDS @Lokniticsds

Since its inception in 1963, the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies has been recognized as one of the leading intellectual institutions of the global south. At the Centre, we believe that ideas grow out of everyday social and political practices. We, therefore, consider it an important function of intellectuals to stay close to, articulate and critically comment upon such practices. Since 1997, CSDS has been conducting survey-based studies through its research programme, Lokniti. The most distinguishing characteristic of the Lokniti programme is that it has brought together over 40 political scientists from various colleges, universities and research institutions in the country and evolved itself into a large network of researchers defining research agenda collectively and doing research collectively. This long tradition of conducting survey-based studies has meant that today outside Western Europe and North America, the Lokniti-CSDS Data Unit’s holdings might constitute one of the largest archives of social scientific survey data on political behaviour and attitudes, spanning five decades. Visit: CSDS: <a href="http://www.csds.in" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">www.csds.in</a> Lokniti: <a href="http://www.lokniti.org" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">www.lokniti.org</a> Follow: Twitter: CSDS Delhi @csdsdelhi Lokniti-CSDS @Lokniticsds

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