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EWI Insight

Tired of financial pundits who talk so much yet say so little? Every trading day, get the real story behind the market’s action from the world’s largest independent technical analysis firm.

Weekly hand curated podcast episodes for learning

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The best episodes ranked using user listens.

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Ethereum

The crypto markets still have some drama left in the tank. When you hear about a market making a double top or double bottom, check in on the wave count because you might find a big opportunity that folks who don't know waves will surely miss. It's not too late to join EWI's Crypto Opportunity Month. https://bit.ly/2HPe7od

1min

24 Feb 2020

Rank #1

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Deflation

With the global selloff, deflation has popped back into the news. You may have seen stories about it the past couple weeks in the New York Times, the Telegraph, Barron's -- to name a few. Deflation is a topic that confuses people. There's a lot of misconceptions about it. So let's take a moment today to talk about what deflation is -- and what it is not. Believe it or not, you can survive and even prosper in a deflationary environment, as long as you're ready for it. You can get EWI's free report, "What You Need to Know Now About Protecting Yourself from Deflation," when you click the link in the show notes or visit elliottwave.com/insight.

1min

2 Mar 2020

Rank #2

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Bitcoin

The cryptocurrency markets are no strangers to big moves and in recent weeks—and really over the past year—we’ve seen that although the Bitcoin bubble is well past its peak, there’s still plenty of drama to be had in the crypto space. https://bit.ly/2v7xiqc

1min

6 Feb 2020

Rank #3

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Pot Stocks

Pot stocks have gone up in smoke. You may have seen articles in the news about how some pot companies have something like just months of capital left. You might think, "Markets are near record highs. Shouldn't this be a time for pot stocks to enjoy a blaze of glory?" Some research in the July 2009 issue of The Socionomist offers some insights. Watch the webinar, "20 Trends You Can Anticipate in 2020." https://bit.ly/2utNZwd

1min

12 Feb 2020

Rank #4

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Interest Rates

Yesterday was Fed day. Were you sitting on the edge of your seat, biting your nails, hardly able to breathe until you found out the Fed’s rate decision? Well, that’s what a lot of traders do, but around here we mostly yawn and go to lunch because we’ve observed for decades that the Fed just follows the rates set on the freely traded Treasury market. The yield on 3-month T-bills has been flat since early November, so it’s no surprise that the Fed kept its rate flat as well. And, look, we’re talking about the U.S. because of the rate decision yesterday, but you can do this with any country. If you’re the kind of person who has fun looking at financial charts, well you can have a whale of a time pulling up a chart of any central-bank-set rate on the planet and comparing it to a chart of the yield on freely traded short-term government debt for the same country. You’ll find time and time again that the central bank is a market follower, not a market leader. The market’s in control, not the Feds of the world. A cactus with sunglasses would direct the course of interest rates just as effectively as a central bank—actually more so because the cactus is cheaper. Happy surfing, Elliott wavers. Let’s talk again tomorrow. Using central banks to forecast the markets? That’s putting the cart before the horse. For analysis of global rates, equities and more that puts the horse before the cart, click the link in the show notes. bit.ly/36L6GbS

1min

30 Jan 2020

Rank #5

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Shanghai Composite

Chinese stocks got slammed in Monday's session. The Shanghai Composite was down nearly 8%. 8% in a single day for an equity index. That is huge. That'd be like the Dow losing 2,200 points in a day. So all the time, and certainly when a market gets volatile, one of the best things you can do is block out the noise. The media's going to be going crazy, so are your fellow traders for that matter, emotions are running high. And in that environment, it can be tough to make good decisions. https://bit.ly/2v0RpGw

1min

4 Feb 2020

Rank #6

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Disney

The House of Mouse has a new leader. Bob Iger is out as Disney’s CEO. He’d held the position since 2005. During his tenure, he grew Disney’s empire with acquisitions of Pixar, Marvel, Lucasfilm and 21stCentury Fox. He expanded the company’s theme parks, opened Shanghai Disney in 2016, launched Disney+ last year. He oversaw mega successful live-action remakes of Disney’s animated classics, re-started the Star Wars franchise, brought new hits to the screen like Frozen, Moana, Frozen II and the Marvel movies. And to top it all off, last year Disney had the biggest year of any studio in box office history, and the company’s stock price registered its all-time high. Suffice to say, it’s been a busy time for Iger and Disney. https://bit.ly/38ZAanW

1min

27 Feb 2020

Rank #7

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Buy and Hold

We had a bit of a respite from the global selloff yesterday. Equities rebounded, which makes it a good time to talk about some articles we're starting to see in the media. We see these articles whenever the market heads lower for a while. And basically, journalists quote financial advisors who explain how they've helped their clients calm down during the decline, and how they've encouraged them to stay invested in the market. Get the context you need to navigate the market's waves with EWI's Global Forecast Service. https://bit.ly/3cnYgLz

1min

3 Mar 2020

Rank #8

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Gold Sentiment

Let's talk sentiment in the gold market. There's been a lot of excitement surrounding gold lately. And when a technical analyst detects a tide of enthusiasm in a market, it gives you pause. Does the enthusiasm signal that we're getting toward the end of a bear market rally, or does it indicate that a new bull market has begun? EWI's latest Global Market Perspective clarifies the current juncture. https://bit.ly/2vTbHSA

1min

20 Feb 2020

Rank #9

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Afghanistan

The U.S. invaded Afghanistan in October 2001, one of the manifestations of the same negative social mood trend that burst the dot-com bubble. More than 16,000 Dow points later, the U.S. decided to give peace a chance last week, a poetic bookend to the bull market in American equities. Yet the social mood scenario in Afghanistan differs starkly from that of the U.S. If the bear continues to roar, Afghanistan and the Gulf region will likely remain a hotbed for conflict and unrest. If you know where stocks are headed, you'll also know the most probable paths for politics, pop culture and social trends. Let EWI's Global Forecast Service show you what the markets' waves reveal. https://bit.ly/333h7Hz

1min

5 Mar 2020

Rank #10

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Brexit

Today is Brexit Day. The UK begins its withdrawal from the EU, embarking on an 11-month transition. Now for the past three years we’ve heard all about how Britain’s departure from the European Union would impact stocks and economies in Britain, Europe and beyond. And one thing’s for sure: No matter where British stocks go over the near term, the media will make Brexit take the brunt of the credit or blame. https://bit.ly/2S45quU

1min

31 Jan 2020

Rank #11

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Global Trade

President Trump is planning to sign the USMCA today. The agreement replaces NAFTA. And, of course, Phase 1 of the U.S.-China trade agreement got signed a couple weeks ago. Now for the better part of two years, the media’s blamed just about every bout of market volatility on global trade tensions, yet now that we have two major international trade agreements, volatility in global equities is back. https://bit.ly/37DUvi2

1min

29 Jan 2020

Rank #12

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U.S. Stocks

We had a significant day in the stock market yesterday. U.S. equities down. We saw the strongest downside breadth on the NYSE since August. Wow. VIX had its highest close since October. The Dow shed 453 points, closing down 1.57%, as did the S&P which snapped its 70-day streak of closes that were within one percent of the previous session close. https://bit.ly/2RCqJVD

1min

28 Jan 2020

Rank #13

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Deflation

Are the stocks of small companies likely to provide shelter from deflation? As The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast observed all the way back in the December 2009 issue, small firms "are also less well capitalized and thus susceptible to price wars, spiraling asset devaluations and tighter credit conditions." Want to know how to protect yourself from deflation? https://bit.ly/3bGJzme

1min

18 Feb 2020

Rank #14

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Earnings

Let's make this a myth-busting Monday. "Earnings drive stock prices." How many times have you heard that? Dozens of times, right? It seems logical, but is it true? Well, one problem is that quarterly earnings reports document companies' earnings from the previous quarter. Using what a firm did three months ago to predict what the company's stock is going to do in the future is like driving down the highway with your eyes glued to the rearview mirror instead of the windshield. https://bit.ly/2tqwz31

1min

3 Feb 2020

Rank #15

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Elections

Back in 2016, there were editorials aplenty about how a Donald Trump win would be terrible for the stock market. When you look at all the history and adjust for outliers, the stock market has done about the same under Democrat and Republican presidents on average. For market analysis based on what matters--instead of what doesn't--check out our Global Market Perspective. https://bit.ly/3bQts5A

1min

19 Feb 2020

Rank #16

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Global Stocks

Have you hit the panic button yet? Selloff in global equities yesterday. And what's behind the selloff? From the perspective of the Elliott wave model, action in global equities both prior to and during yesterday's selloff was entirely normal. EWI's Global Forecast Service gives you clear and actionable forecasts for the world's major financial markets. https://bit.ly/2Tepvzh

1min

25 Feb 2020

Rank #17

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Middle East

Alright, check your politics at the door. We’re talking about a pair of Middle Eastern markets today: the Palestine Stock Exchange Al Quds Index and Israel’s Tel Aviv 125. Now the trends in these two indexes could hardly be more different. Since its 2005 high, the Palestine Al Quds Index is down 60% while the Tel Aviv 125 is up 80% over the same period. So which side recently proposed a peace plan? The one whose stock index has soared, the one with the more elevated mood. https://bit.ly/2vaSID0

1min

7 Feb 2020

Rank #18

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Cash

Cash is trash. That's the message from the founder of one of the world's largest hedge funds, who says essentially that speculators should be all-in, invested in a diversified mix of stocks, stocks and more stocks. When you hear the masses trashing cash, check your stock index charts. You might be surprised at just how often you find a wave pattern nearing completion. Is cash really trash? Get EWI's latest forecasts for global markets. https://bit.ly/3bzbTa1

1min

13 Feb 2020

Rank #19

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Trump

Today the Senate plans to vote in Donald Trump’s impeachment trial. We’ve been tracking Donald Trump’s prospects to stay in office on socionomics.net. Historically the stock market has been a reliable indicator of how a presidential removal vote in the Senate will go. In a nutshell, the higher the market goes, the better a president’s chances to stay in office. For an in-depth look at President Trump’s chances to win the 2020 election, including key levels to watch in the Dow, click the link in the show notes. https://bit.ly/2OwnI70

1min

5 Feb 2020

Rank #20