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The Allstarcharts Podcast on Technical Analysis Radio: Current Market Analysis For Traders

Up To Date Stock Market & Investing Insights From the Industries Top Market Technicians

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Episode 2: Ari Wald, Head of Technical Analysis at Oppenheimer

Ari Wald is the Head of Technical Analysis at Oppenheimer. He is without question one of the best Technicians in today’s markets. We’re lucky we got a full hour with Ari. He walks us through his process and then discusses how he is applying his methods to today’s markets. We talk about U.S. and foreign stocks, interest rates, Crude Oil, Gold and the US Dollar. This was awesome! Click here to see all of the charts mentioned in this episode.

58mins

11 Aug 2017

Rank #1

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Benzinga Premarket Interview: Which Way Are Stocks Headed?

There are a lot of interesting developments working through the markets these days. Whether it’s the relentless sector rotation underneath the surface or the divergences between small and large-cap stocks, there is no shortage of topics to discuss about the current environment. I have been in the camp that a breakdown in Bonds to new multi-year lows would likely be accompanied by a lower yen and higher stock and commodities prices. Through last week that strategy has worked really well. Moving forward, how does this face-ripper in rates impact U.S. stocks? Is the relative strength in financials this week a positive sign for equities? Or are they just getting a sympathy bid because of rates? Are Semiconductors finally going to break out above their epic 2000 highs, which they’ve been flirting with all year? What about Gold and Crude Oil? How do they fit in? This morning I was on the Benzinga Premarket Prep Show discussing what I felt are the most important topics in the markets right now. Here is the interview in full:

17mins

4 Oct 2018

Rank #2

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Futures Radio Interview: Trade To Make Money, Not To Be Right!

This week I had the pleasure of being interviewed by Anthony Crudele, host of the Futures Radio Show. In this episode he asked me about my process, how I first got into the market, how I approach the market place today and in what ways we help our clients who are financial advisors, hedge funds, family offices, traders and individual investors. I really enjoyed this conversation and wanted to share it on the stream.

46mins

7 Jun 2018

Rank #3

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Episode 4: Brian Shannon, Author & Founder of Alphatrends.net

Brian Shannon is one of the first Technicians that I ever followed. I used to watch his YouTube videos as far back as 2006. Brian is a pioneer in Technical Analysis in the Social Media era. His book Technical Analysis Using Multiple Timeframes is one of the most important books I’ve ever read. In this episode @alphatrends walks us through his multi-timeframe approach and how that can be incorporated into your process regardless of time horizon. We discuss the current U.S. Stock Market environment including price behavior and sentiment. Since Brian is one of the highest authorities on the subject of Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) we couldn’t help ourselves but get into the subject at length. This was a great conversation with someone who has been a mentor to a lot of us over many years. Click here to see all of the Charts mentioned in this episode.

44mins

30 Aug 2017

Rank #4

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Episode 9: Phil Pearlman, Stock Market Psychologist

Dr. Phil Pearlman is a stock market psychologist who I have turned to for help and guidance throughout a large portion of my career. In this episode we dive deep into cognitive behavior and discuss some solutions to flaws in the behavior of investors. Phil discusses exposure therapy for traders in a similar way that PTSD patients are treated. Technical Analysis is the study of the behavior of the market and market participants. The more we learn about ourselves and the way we are trained to think emotionally, the more aware we will be as we enter and exit the public marketplace. I asked Phil to give us his take on Bitcoin, Stock Market Volatility and Precious Metals. This conversation is one I recommend going back to on regular basis to remind ourselves to be more in tune with what we’re thinking and why we’re thinking it. Click here to see all of the Charts mentioned in this episode

54mins

23 Oct 2017

Rank #5

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All Star Interviews Season 2, Episode 7: Kim Sokoloff, CMT & Trader

Kim Sokoloff is a trader’s trader. Whenever I see her she is always telling me about her trading day, what she was buying and what she was selling. I have a huge appreciation for the passion she brings to the markets on a daily basis. We all have different time horizons, some longer-term and some shorter-term. Kim is concerned with what stocks are doing over a a few days. For her, “long-term” is only a couple of weeks. In this episode, Kim walks us through her morning routine and thought process throughout the trading day. We’ve had analysts, money managers and traders on the podcast, but in this conversation we really dive deep into what it’s like trading every day from an apartment in lower Manhattan. I really enjoyed this discussion with a very active swing trader and practicing technician. Click here to return to the episode page

36mins

28 Sep 2018

Rank #6

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Episode 11: Chris Kimble, Technical Analyst & Founder of Kimble Charting Solutions

Chris Kimble is one of those Technical Analysts that I started following a long time ago. He incorporates an intermarket approach and consistently uses multiple timeframes. Those are things that definitely get my attention. In this podcast, Chris shares with us some of his experiences with his mentor Sir John Templeton. While we talk about a lot of the lessons that we’ve learned over the years, this conversation dives into the short-term and longer-term outlook for Gold, the US Dollar, Crude Oil and Interest Rates. Sentiment is something that Chris and I both focus on so I think this conversation is well rounded in terms of having both an educational focus and actionable ideas for the current market environment. Click here to see all of the Charts mentioned in this episode

48mins

22 Nov 2017

Rank #7

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Podcast: The Volatility Episode w/ Andrew Thrasher

Andrew Thrasher is the person I turn to whenever I have questions about Volatility and the $VIX. I know he tracks the data much more closely that I do and he does a good job of simplifying what may seem like complicated concepts. With the current market environment pricing in very low volatility moving forward, one can argue there is too much “complacency” towards stocks. Historically, corrections are sparked from this sort of setup. Who better to bring on to the podcast for this special Volatility Episode than Andrew Thrasher, winner of the 2017 Dow Award for his paper on Forecasting a Volatility Tsunami. In this conversation we talk about the current volatility regime, the VIX curve looking out into early 2020 and how he incorporates breadth data to supplement his volatility analysis. I really enjoyed this conversation and it seems like the perfect time to talk about Volatility! Click here return to the episode page

18 Nov 2019

Rank #8

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All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 5: Ari Wald, Head of Technical Analysis at Oppenheimer

Ari Wald is always one of my favorite Technical Analysts. Him and I were trained around the same time so we look at the market in a very similar way. Today Ari is the Head of Technical Analysis at Oppenheimer in New York and we’re very lucky to have him on the podcast. If you’re interested in learning more about Ari, go back and listen to his guest appearance in Season 1 (EP 2). In this episode, Ari and I discuss the current state of the US Stock Market. Included in the analysis are breadth measurements, important levels, smoothing mechanisms and sector rotation. Him and I can talk forever about this stuff so the time felt like it flew by. We covered a ton of material in a very short period of time. I hope you enjoy this one as much as I did! Click here to see all of the Charts mentioned in this episode.

7 Aug 2019

Rank #9

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All Star Interviews Season 2, Episode 13: Brett Steenbarger, Trading Psychologist

Having Trading Psychologist Dr. Brett Steenbarger on the podcast was a huge treat for me. He works with the best traders on planet earth on a daily basis. Needless to say, when Dr. Brett is telling me something, I want to listen. In this episode, he let me ask him all the questions I was curious about and he happily answered them all with solid advice and relevant anecdotes. We make a lot of mistakes as investors because of our many flaws as humans. When our stress levels are elevated we start acting emotionally, instead of rationally. Taking losses is a difficult task for us, even though we all know that losses are part of the deal. I really enjoyed this conversation and it could have gone on forever if I didn’t end it. I hope you get as much value from this chat as I did. Click here to return to the episode page

48mins

19 Dec 2018

Rank #10

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All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 11: Walter Deemer, Technical Analyst With 57 Years Of Experience

Walter Deemer has been a Technical Analyst for 57 years, after starting his career at Merrill Lynch working for legendary Technician Bob Farrell. He is a founding member and past president of the CMT Association and coined the phrase, “When the time comes to buy, you won’t want to!”,which is the title of one of the books he’s authored. We’re lucky to have someone on the podcast who was in the business at a time when interest rates were NOT in a downtrend! In this episode, Walter talks to us about what it was like charting in the 1960s and 70s and what sentiment was like as we entered the 1980s and one of the greatest economic expansions in America history. “Watch their feet, not their mouths”, is what Walter Deemer says when he encourages us to look at what investors are doing, rather than their opinions. This was a great conversation where we discuss what he calls our “Shoulda Fund” and what the Breakaway Momentum Strategy (breadth thrusts) means to him. I really enjoyed this one! Click here return to the episode page

7 Oct 2019

Rank #11

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All Star Interviews Season 2, Episode 21: Craig Johnson, Chief Market Technician at Piper Jaffray

This week on the podcast we have the pleasure of chatting with Craig Johnson, Chief Market Technician at Piper Jaffray. I’ve known Craig for a long time and love the work that he puts out. During the day he speaks to buy side clients all over the world. As a past president of the CMT Association, he has surrounded himself with some of the best minds in the history of technical analysis. His perspective based on who he speaks to and his experiences throughout his career make me want to listen when he has something to say. In this conversation we discuss the rest of the year for U.S. stocks and sectors. There’s a part in this episode that focuses on breadth and what we’re both looking for moving forward. Inflation, or lack thereof, is something he’s watching, so we talk about Gold, Oil and other inflationary factors that could impact stocks and bonds. We covered a lot. I really enjoyed this one! Click here to return to the episode page

39mins

16 Apr 2019

Rank #12

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Episode 20: Louise Yamada, Managing Director of LY Technical Research Advisors

Louise Yamada has been an inspiration to me for my entire career. Bringing nearly 4 decades of experience as a technical analyst, Louise adds a unique perspective on markets that makes her the perfect compliment to some of the younger guests that we’ve had on the podcast. Louise, who for a number of years received Institutional Investor’s top ranking, was a special guest on “Louis Rukeyser’s Wall Street” and you can still find her regularly being featured on Bloomberg, CNBC and other financial media outlets. Today, Louise Yamada, CMT is the Managing Director of Louise Yamada Technical Research Advisors (LYA). In this conversation we talk about the long-term cycles of interest rates and precious metals going back almost 100 years. While we do dive into these longer time horizons, in this episode Louise also gives us her short-term take on U.S. Stocks, Gold, Bitcoin and even lays out her favorite strategy for the Bond Market right now. This is such a treat for us to have a legend share her time and be a guest on our show. She has been a huge influence on my work over many years, so I hope you enjoy this discussion as much as I did! Learn more about Louise Yamada Technical Research Advisors Click here to see all of the Charts mentioned in this episode

39mins

23 Feb 2018

Rank #13

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Episode 23: Jay Woods, NYSE Floor Governor

Jay Woods has been a designated market maker on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange for over 25 years. This being Technical Analysis Radio, I think it’s important to understand what goes on down there and how it’s changed over time. In this episode Jay shares old war stories from one of the most important and symbolic buildings in America. This conversation is the perfect compliment to some of the other perspectives we’ve heard throughout season one of the podcast. Jay Woods is a Chartered Market Technician who focuses on price behavior and sentiment. We discuss the current U.S. Stock Market environment including sector rotation, particularly in Financials and Technology. With volatility coming back in 2018, I think this is a great time to hear from Jay and find out what he’s seeing from the floor of the NYSE. Click here to see all of the Charts mentioned in this episode

40mins

20 Mar 2018

Rank #14

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All Star Interviews Season 2, Episode 23: David Zarling, Chartered Market Technician

David Zarling is a newly minted CMT Charterholder. He is Partner and Head of Investment Strategy & Research at Client First Tax and Wealth Advisors out of Wisconsin. David and I have gotten to know each other over the years and I really appreciate all of the things he is doing. In this podcast episode, David walks us through his process and how it has evolved throughout his career. He uses Technical Analysis to help manage money for clients and most importantly manage risk. I’ve seen a lot of him lately. He attended Chart Summit in Breckenridge, CO in February and then the CMT Symposium in New York in April. He talks about why he goes out of his way to get around like minded individuals to talk about the markets and find people to challenge his thinking. I also really liked the part about the analogies he uses when talking to clients about Technical Analysis and his process. I thought this discussion was a real value add. Click here to return to the episode page

33mins

15 May 2019

Rank #15

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All Star Interviews Season 2, Episode 20: Eddy Elfenbein of Crossing Wall Street

This week we have a special guest on the podcast: Eddy Elfenbein of Crossing Wall Street and PM for the $CWS Exchange Traded Fund. This is a show about Technical Analysis so I think it’s important to also include some of the masters of Fundamental Analysis to tell us how they find charts and technicals helpful in their process. Eddy is one of the original Financial Bloggers and I have a ton of respect for him and his work. He is a pioneer in both social media and portfolio management. I love how he explains his appreciation for Intermarket Analysis and Relative Strength as useful tools throughout his process. As many of you know, these two are near and dear to my heart so it’s cool to see the Fundamental community embracing them in similar ways. This was a fun conversation! Click here to return to the episode page

42mins

11 Apr 2019

Rank #16

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All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 13: Neil Blalock, CMT – Chief Investment Officer & Owner of NJB Capital

Neil Blalock is my guest this week on the podcast. I believe he is absolutely the perfect compliment to all of the other guests we’ve had on over the years. While many technical analysis, especially on this podcast, come from an equities background, Neil was raised in Missouri and brought up with commodities all around him. It wasn’t until much later in his career that he focused more on the stock market. Because Technical Analysis can be applied to asset classes of all kinds, Neil is able to use his expertise across markets. What’s funny is that you can take Neil out of the farm, but you can’t take the farm away from him completely. When I asked him about what interests him out there, he went right for the Soybean Markets! Neil just can’t help himself and it’s a beauty to watch. In this episode we dive into the agriculture commodities market as well as the softs, precious metals and ultimately into the equities and interest rate markets. This was a really fun conversation with a different perspective than what you might be used to! Click here return to the episode page

29 Nov 2019

Rank #17

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Money Game Podcast: The Mean Reversion Heuristic (EP.14)

There are a lot of people out there who would rather fight trends than take advantage of the ones that are already in place. The idea is they are always looking for the reversion to the mean. And while some think prices always come back to the mean, it’s often forgotten that the mean can also catch up (or down) to price. I learned this lesson the hard way in 2013 and it has served me well ever since. This episode is short and sweet but I think adds a tremendous amount of value. When I asked Phil to comment on the subject, he said, “Give me someone who can adapt, someone who is flexible over someone who is a rocket scientist any day because I can teach him to ignore that voice inside his head telling him that breakouts must revert. The mean reversion heuristic is just one more example of how conventional thinking styles, that come hard wired in most of us and which serve us just fine in most environments, require suspension in the trading turret.” Click here return to the episode page

10 Jan 2020

Rank #18

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Panel Discussion At Traders4ACause 2018: Joe Fahmy, Paul Singh & JC Parets

This past weekend was the 5th annual Traders4ACause Conference in Las Vegas. It was a lot of fun and a bunch of us helped raise money for a list of great causes. On Saturday I gave a presentation about what I’m currently seeing in the markets, including Stocks, Bonds and Currencies. Sunday I sat on a panel with Joe Fahmy and Paul Singh and we just chatted about the markets, what we’re seeing out there and shared some stories about the things we’ve learned over the years. We recorded the conversation so here it is in full. I encourage everyone to check out the Traders4ACause site and donate even if you could not attend. I hope you enjoy our discussion!

47mins

16 Oct 2018

Rank #19

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All Star Interviews Season 2, Episode 11: Arun Chopra, of Fusion Point Capital

A conversation with Arun Chopra is one that makes you smarter. That’s how I see it. Arun has formal training as both a CFA Charterholder and a CMT. He has helped produce award winning films at the Sundance Film Festival and he’s on the same journey as us: to make money in the market. He uses a combination of global macro, technical and sentiment indicators that he is working on putting into a more quantitative model. Picking his brain about the process and his experiences in this endeavor was really enlightening. In this episode we discuss current markets, sector rotation, credit spreads widening and the possibilities for the US Stock Market Indexes to break to new lows. I really enjoyed this discussion with Arun. I always do. Click here to return to the episode page

52mins

6 Dec 2018

Rank #20