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Lusk Perspectives

During a time of great uncertainty and change, connection and information is a more important resource than ever before. Today's problems could be amplified or completely altered in a matter of days or hours, so it is vital that organizations and thought leaders frequently share knowledge, dispel rumors, and offer insight.To meet this need, the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate launches the resource Lusk Perspectives.Hosted by Professor and Lusk Center Director Richard K. Green in the style of longform videos or podcasts, Lusk Perspectives offers timely analysis and shares accurate data vetted by leading experts on the latest developments and observations concerning COVID-19.

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During a time of great uncertainty and change, connection and information is a more important resource than ever before. Today's problems could be amplified or completely altered in a matter of days or hours, so it is vital that organizations and thought leaders frequently share knowledge, dispel rumors, and offer insight.To meet this need, the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate launches the resource Lusk Perspectives.Hosted by Professor and Lusk Center Director Richard K. Green in the style of longform videos or podcasts, Lusk Perspectives offers timely analysis and shares accurate data vetted by leading experts on the latest developments and observations concerning COVID-19.

Fireside Chat with Lusk Chair and Vice Chair

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William A. Witte (CEO, Related California and Chair, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) and Nadine Watt (CEO, Watt Companies and Vice Chair, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) joins Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate), to discuss their perspective on the broad trends and challenges facing real estate and urban economics in 2021.

The leadership offers viewpoints on California outmigration, how rents are changing in unexpected ways as consumers respond to COVID, and the potential growth (and pitfalls) that remain for Southern California infrastructure. The Lusk Chair and Vice Chair insist that capital availability continues, meanwhile the industry as a whole continues to maintain a “wait and see” strategy to accurately assess how COVID and consumer trends have impacted product types and financial feasibility in the long term.

More talks and resources:

https://lusk.usc.edu/perspectives

Feb 09 2021

40mins

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Addressing Land Loss for Underserved Americans

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Dana Goldman (Interim Dean, Price School of Public Policy and Director, USC Schaeffer Center) hosts Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) and Thomas Mitchell (Macarthur Fellow and Co-Director, Program in Real Estate and Community Development Law, Texas A&M) in a conversation about Mitchell’s work on attempting to rectify the many ways that Black and other disadvantaged American families are deprived of their real estate wealth.

Upon the passing of a land-owning family member without a designated will, a great many properties of Black Americans passed property to multiple interest-owning heirs. Often called an “heirs property” or “tenancy in common”, this arrangement makes the estate easy to enter into a forced sale where the property sells for a fraction of its value. Affecting both rural and urban disadvantaged populations, Mitchell’s work has spearheaded both legal and legislative reforms in several states to help alleviate forced sales of a family’s vital source of generational wealth.

Dec 18 2020

50mins

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Long Run Effects of Quantitative Easing

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Rodney Ramcharan (Professor of Finance and Business Economics, Marshall School of Business) joins Richard K. Green (Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) to look back at 2009 and the quantitative easing used to inject money into the US economy during the financial crisis. Ramcharan shows that the effects of government intervention in the economy can last a long time, up to six years, with refinance activity providing a key indicator for a business’s future health. Green and Ramcharan discuss how the data gathered since 2009 could inform monetary policy as the effects of the pandemic continue, as well as the varying viewpoints economists have had over the years about the debt ceiling.

More: https://lusk.usc.edu/perspectives

Dec 16 2020

40mins

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Valuation - How Do You Value In Times Like This?

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An excerpt panel from the Casden 2020 State of the Market conference. John W. Loper (Associate Professor, USC Sol Price School of Public Policy) hosts a discussion with industry practitioners George Koiso, MAI (Director, Los Angeles Multifamily Practice Leader, CBRE Valuation & Advisory Services), Jaime Lee (Chief Executive Officer, Jamison Realty, Inc.), and John Pawlowski (Senior Analyst, Residential, Greenstreet Advisors) on how valuation works today as COVID continues to influence the market in unexpected ways. The panel dives into their perspectives and observations on current trends in Net Operating Income, occupancy, and collections as well as how underwriting and financing is changing with Federal stimulus dollars available.

Dec 07 2020

46mins

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Distressed Debt and the K-Shaped Recovery

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Sean Armstrong (Managing Principal, Westport Capital LLC) joins Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) to discuss highlights from his career, his views on acquiring distressed debt, and how COVID could impact the industry. Though the K-shaped recovery will likely be a general trend going forward, Armstrong sees the recovery playing out in very focused markets with multiple intersecting factors including region, product type, COVID progress, and consumer behavior. Green asks questions about Armstrong’s process on looking for opportunities, where he has made mistakes in the past, and what options remain for regional malls in decline.

Nov 18 2020

38mins

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COVID-19 and Renter Distress

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Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) is joined by Michael Lens (Associate Professor of Urban Planning and Public Policy, UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs), Michael Manville (Associate Professor of Urban Planning, UCLA Luskin), and Paavo Monkkonen (Associate Professor of Urban Planning and Public Policy, UCLA Luskin) to discuss their joint study on renter distress during the COVID-19 crisis. Among its many findings, the study illustrates that though many households are making rent payments, tenants may be using other means of credit or cutting basic needs spending to do so.

Nov 13 2020

1hr

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Demystifying Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities

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Roy March (CEO, Eastdil Secured) discusses the ins and outs of Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) with Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate). Starting with the history of how CMBS was born out of the Savings and Loan Crisis in the late 1980s and how it gained ground after the 2008 crisis by providing much-needed liquidity, the conversation covers a wide range of the market. March offers insights and observations on how a global aging population focused on long-term saving impacts interest rates, how valuation and refinancing is changing since COVID-19, and what changes have been made in governance to provide more flexibility on loan terms. March also takes a moment to address the shortcomings of the homelessness and housing crisis, particularly in Southern California.

Oct 26 2020

48mins

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Election Talks: Breaking Down CA Prop 2

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Radio host and fourth-generation Angeleno Larry Mantle and policy experts Gary Painter and Richard Green provide an overview of CA Proposition 21 followed by a discussion on their opposing views of supporting or opposing the initiative for local rent control. If approved, it allows local governments to establish rent control on residential properties that have been occupied for over 15 years. Additionally, it allows landlords who own no more than two homes to exempt themselves from such policies. Relevant to the discussion is the 1995 Costa–Hawkins Rental Housing Act, which Prop 21 would repeal some of the provisions in the act.

Oct 22 2020

32mins

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Prop 15 Discussion with KPCC Host Larry Mantle

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Larry Mantle (Host, AirTalk, KPCC) hosts a discussion regarding California Proposition 15. If passed on November 3rd, this will generate an estimated $6.5 billion to $11.5 billion annually for local governments and K-14 public education by creating a "split roll" property tax system that increases taxes on large commercial properties by taxing them at market value, without changing the assessed valuation process for other properties. Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center) briefly introduces the talk while Manuel Pastor (Director, USC Dornsife Equity Research Institute) and Rex Hime (President and CEO, California Business Properties Association) discuss what the ramifications of this proposition could be for California business, local municipalities, and education.

Oct 16 2020

31mins

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The COVID Economy: Where Are We Now?

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Diane Swonk (Chief Economist, Grant Thornton) discusses where we’ve been and possibly where we’re going as the economy braces for more impacts from COVID-19 with Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center). Tracing the line back from January 2020 to the Fall, she overlays her concerns about COVID’s long term impacts on Millennials, Gen Z, Women in the workforce, and the ever-widening gaps in racial disparities. Green offers supporting evidence as well as questions regarding how the supply chain might change. Swonk insists throughout that the course of the virus is the course of the economy regardless of government intervention.

For more talks and insights, visit https://lusk.usc.edu/perspectives

Oct 13 2020

50mins

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Analyzing Mortgage Market Risks

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Laurie Goodman (Co-Director, Housing and Finance Policy, Urban Institute) sits down with Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center) to discuss all things mortgage market including her success and key takeaways from analyzing asset classes in the 2008-2009 financial crisis, how she and her team created the housing credit availability index, the impact of both Dodd-Frank legislation and COVID-19 on the mortgage market. Additionally, Goodman offers data-based observations on credit evaluation flaws and how that widens the black-white homeownership gap.

Sep 29 2020

38mins

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How Credit Scores Are Built and Used

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Amy Cutts (President, AC Cutts and Associates LLC) details how credit scores are built, what factors and variables may contribute to how they are evaluated, how credit scores from FICO and others have evolved, and the limits to the formulas and data used in building the models that provide credit scoring. Richard Green (USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) asks questions about how debts differentiate in the calculations, the issues with using outdated FICO scoring models, and what can be done regarding social disparities created by flaws in credit scoring.

Sep 17 2020

43mins

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Investing in the Age of COVID

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Nela Richardson (Principal, Investment Strategist, Edward Jones) outlines the factors to consider in determining investment strategy and evaluating the economic outlook as the US continues to navigate impacts from COVID-19. Richardson covers how management of COVID-19 will shape the recovery, the shape of the overall recession, how past and likely future government stimuli help bridge gaps, and what a long-term growth perspective can do for resilient investing. Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) asks questions regarding how bonds have changed; the fate of office space and brick-and-mortar retail; whether the latest corporate commitments to diversity, inclusion, and anti-racism will follow through on their promises; what businesses might move as a result of lockdowns; and more.

Sep 03 2020

58mins

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State and Local Budgets

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Lois Takahashi (USC Price Sacramento) moderates a discussion on how COVID-19 is impacting state and local budgets with Tracy Gordon (Urban Institute) and Carolyn Coleman (League of California Cities). Gordon outlines the nationwide declines in revenue are dramatic and could take up to 10 years for unemployment to fully recover. Coleman’s focus on the local picture illustrates that across the board, cities of all sizes are coming up against a variety of shortfalls in revenue and likely reductions in services. Richard Green (USC Lusk Center) fields questions alongside Takahashi regarding how online retail is impacting tax revenue, how inequities are increasing during the pandemic, and the opportunities that this massive fiscal and social shakeup may provide.

Aug 26 2020

56mins

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Racial Justice and Economics: A Crucial Pairing

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William Spriggs, Professor in, and Former Chair of, the Department of Economics at Howard University and Chief Economist for AFL-CIO

Richard Green, Director and Chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate and Chair of the Department of Real Estate Development

Dana Goldman, Interim Dean, USC Sol Price School of Public Policy and Leonard D. Schaeffer Director’s Chair, USC Schaeffer Center

The USC Sol Price School of Public Policy presents virtual events that examine timely public policy and development topics. Events are broadcast live over Zoom. A selection of recordings are available on our YouTube channel for viewing after events have passed. Watch the most recent talks below, and visit the event playlists to explore past events. The USC Price School is committed to providing relevant information on critical subjects that matter to us, and we look forward to continuing virtual programming that brings us together during these remote times.

Aug 24 2020

1hr 2mins

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ESG Investments and Real Estate

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Bonnie M. Wongtrakool (Global Head of ESG Investments, Portfolio Manager, Western Asset Management) discusses the state and the future of ESG (environmental, social, governance) investments with Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate). Wongtrakool delivers relevant definitions of ESG, how ESG factors can determine long-term sustainability and viability of an organization or fund, and what trends are driving ESG growth. Green follows up with questions on what makes green buildings more financially resilient, red flags in organizational governance, and what it will take to truly diversity the finance industry.

Aug 13 2020

51mins

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Changing Typologies and Construction Innovations in Housing

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Rick Holliday (CEO, Co-Founder, Factory OS), Janet Stephenson (Head of Building Platform Sales, Katerra), and Lucio Soibelman (Chair, USC Astani Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering) join host Mary Lynne Boorn (Associate Professor, USC Price) in a discussion on changing typologies and construction innovation in housing. The panel brings experience and insight on shipping constraints, misconceptions of manufactured housing, education for builders and stakeholders, and how construction technology will aid human laborers, not replace them.

Jul 29 2020

52mins

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Fireside Chat with Lusk Leadership

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Lusk Chairman Emile Haddad (CEO, Five Point Holdings) and Vice Chairman William A. Witte (CEO, Related California) join Richard Green (Director, Lusk Center for Real Estate) in a fireside chat covering a broad range of topics. The seasoned CEOs deliver insights on how COVID-19 has impacted their business and accelerated industry trends, what habits will stay in the adoption of remote work, the importance of a renewed focus on equity and inclusion in the real estate industry for both developers and stakeholders, and more.

Jul 24 2020

57mins

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Property Values and the Future of Cities

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Christopher Mayer (Co-Director, Paul Milstein Center for Real Estate, Columbia Business School) sits down with Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) to deliver a presentation detailing how real estate valuation is changing, especially in relation to the economy as a whole, and what the near and long-term future of cities may be. Though there is much to be concerned about regarding rent collections and mortgages, Mayer points out that the key to real estate valuation is estimating the new price level at the end of the recession. Mayer sees that larger cities will face big challenges, but large companies and young workers seem to be betting on the cultural payoff of urban density.

Jul 23 2020

1hr 1min

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Financing Perspectives - What’s Changed, What’s Here to Stay

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Bird Anderson (Executive Vice President, Homebuilder Banking, Well Fargo Commercial Real Estate) provides updates and observations on the state of the current commercial real estate and homebuilding market. Anderson points out that despite record high unemployment, the market is strong, owing in part to the confidence buyers have that remote work will continue to play a major role in the work week. Builders may be cautiously optimistic, but Anderson insists no one anticipates current trends continuing in the long term. Richard Green (Director, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate) fields questions about how builders are preparing for 2021, construction costs, and how foreign buyers are influencing the California market.

Jul 15 2020

52mins

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