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Josh Hermsmeyer

35 Podcast Episodes

Latest 1 Oct 2022 | Updated Daily

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Josh Hermsmeyer on the making of his WR Blow Up model, Bitcoin, Mahomes, and the Lions

The PFF Forecast

George Chahrouri and Eric Eager are joined by Josh Hermsmeyer to talk about the making of his WR Blow Up model, Bitcoin, Mahomes, and the Lions. 00:00 - Introducing Josh Hermsmeyer 6:20 - Josh's WR Blow Up Model 25:26 - Bitcoin Crash 32:00 - Josh's take on Restore the Roar 44:17 - Patrick Mahomes Bounce-Back Szn? 56:00 - 2021 QB Class: Jones, Lance, Fields, Wilson 1:04:40 - Recommendations

1hr 9mins

18 Aug 2022

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Man vs Machine QB Rankings W/ Josh Hermsmeyer

Unexpected Points

Josh Hermsmeyer of 538 joins Kevin to opine on the coaches/executive quarterback rankings released in a recent article and go pick-by-pick giving their own rankings and rationales, plus what a strict analytical model predicts for the 2022 season.

1hr 17mins

27 Jul 2022

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Blasphemous NFL Takes w/ 538's Josh Hermsmeyer

Unexpected Points

Kevin and Josh give their best ideals for the NFL that media and football guys would consider cancellable.

1hr 14mins

8 Jun 2022

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Josh Hermsmeyer on NFL analytics

The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng

Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight joins the show to discuss the NFL before the 2022 playoffs. He talks about his prime Super Bowl contenders and the metrics that he uses to evaluate them. The discussion also touches on NFL quarterbacks such as Josh Allen, Carson Wentz, and Justin Herbert (one is getting lucky, one needs to throw deep more). Josh also talks about a new metric for pass rushers and whether he would re-sign Baker Mayfield. The conversation ends with a great discussion of meat.

1hr 2mins

6 Jan 2022

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Unexpected Points

Kevin Cole is joined by FIVETHIRTYEIGHT’s Josh Hermsmeyer again to talk about the Eagles tanking situation, GM's and head coaches across the NFL and much more in this weeks episode of Unexpected Points.

1hr 12mins

7 Jan 2021

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Pleasure as Business with Josh Hermsmeyer

Nobody Likes Casey McLain

Casey is joined by FiveThirtyEight writer and AirYards evangelist Josh Hermsmeyer. Josh is a programmer, a writer, and has worked in the wine industry for more than a decade. Casey and Josh talk about smoked meat, turning pleasure into a business, and the pitfalls of trying to do that all the time. --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app--- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/nobodylikescaseymclain/messageSupport this podcast: https://anchor.fm/nobodylikescaseymclain/support

1hr 36mins

21 Oct 2020

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Josh Hermsmeyer from FiveThirtyEight Talks Air Yards + AFC & NFC Super Bowl Contenders

Unexpected Points

PFF's Kevin Cole sits down with FiveThirtyEight and Establish the Run's Josh Hermsmeyer to talk Josh's famous Air Yards model (2:30) and statistical trends through 3 weeks of the NFL season (11:30). Kev and Josh also discuss some of their favorite under the radar Week 4 NFL fantasy football plays (18:15) and which teams could represent the AFC and NFC in Super Bowl LV (28:23). 

1hr 18mins

1 Oct 2020

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Josh Hermsmeyer on NFL analysis for 2020

The Football Analytics Show by The Power Rank and Ed Feng

Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight joins me to discuss the NFL. He describes his study receiver separation from defenders and what this means for receiver skill. Josh also breaks down the early season performance of Josh Allen and Drew Brees and what aspects are predictive of the future. We discuss Green Bay, Seattle and New England before Josh surprises everyone with his bold prediction for the 2020 season.


1 Oct 2020

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Fantasy Football | Fantasy Football Deep Dive Analytics with Josh Hermsmeyer from Establish The Run and 538

Fantasy Team Advice

Josh Hermsmeyer, 'The Air Yards Guy' from Establish The Run and 538 stops by the FTA Studios to go deep into some analytics with Alex Blickle and myself.


2 Sep 2020

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Episode 100: Which Stats Matter for Fantasy with Josh Hermsmeyer

Establish The Run Fantasy Football

Josh Hermsmeyer is an accomplished data scientist who developed the industry-leading Air Yards Buy Low Model (available exclusively on EstablishTheRun again this season) and writes for ESPN's 538. He sits down with Adam Levitan to discuss his model, using data in fantasy and which stats actually matter.  Editor's Note: Josh's Air Yards Buy Low Model is part of our In-Season Package. That also includes Silva's Matchups, all of Levitan's DFS content, Thorman's rankings and tons more. Head to www.EstablishTheRun.com for details. TIMESTAMPS: Establishing the Buy Low Model (2:04 ) | Critiquing the models performance (7:20) | Does the data need context? (12:39) | Buy Low for QBs & RBs? (15:28) | Working with small sample sizes (20:45) | Stats that actually matter (23:44) | The evolution of NFL analytics (28:40) | Tips on getting into analytics (31:06 ) | Listener Questions  (33:22) | SHOW LINKS How the Buy Low Model Works: https://establishtherun.com/hermsmeyer-how-the-buy-low-model-works/ Hermsmeyer: Which Stats Matter for WRs: https://establishtherun.com/hermsmeyer-what-metrics-matter-for-fantasy-wrs/ Silva’s Top 150: https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150-2020/ NFL Bundle Package is Live: https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/ Silva’s Sleepers and Undervalued: https://establishtherun.com/2020-sleepers-and-undervalued/


31 Aug 2020